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Fed funds (effective) 3.88%US 2-year 4.77%US 10-year 5.10%Official rates →

United States · Business news · Economy · 29 Aug 2026

Warsh uses his Jackson Hole speech to open the door to rate hikes, saying underlying inflation has not improved

US Financials Real Estate Information Technology

What happened

In his Jackson Hole speech on August 28, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said underlying inflation had not 'meaningfully improved' even as gasoline prices eased, and noted that officials who backed holding rates in July wanted more information before deciding on a change. He did not commit to timing, but analysts saw strong hints of a possible September hike. Longer-term Treasury yields barely rose after the speech; the average 30-year mortgage rate was 6.66%.

Why it matters for listed companies

Signalling a possible hike ahead of the November midterms put rate-sensitive sectors in focus, from banks' funding costs to homebuilders, mortgage lenders and long-duration technology stocks. Warsh also argued AI could lift productivity enough to allow faster growth without inflation, a view that matters for how the Fed treats the AI investment boom driving capex at chip and cloud companies.

Reported by Associated Press (via ABC4) — “Warsh raises stakes for Fed's next meeting and other takeaways from Jackson Hole conference” ↗ on 29 Aug 2026.

Rates and currencies since this was reported

Official series on 29 Aug 2026 or the last day before it, and the latest observation.

US Treasury 2-year yield
4.34% → 4.77% +43 bp
28 Aug 2026 → 15 Oct 2026 · US Treasury
US Treasury 10-year yield
4.73% → 5.10% +37 bp
28 Aug 2026 → 15 Oct 2026 · US Treasury
Effective fed funds rate
3.63% → 3.88% +25 bp
28 Aug 2026 → 14 Oct 2026 · Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Euro in US dollars
1.1643 → 1.1208 -0.0435
28 Aug 2026 → 15 Oct 2026 · ECB reference rate
These figures are measured, not attributed. Prices and rates move for many reasons at once; they show what happened after this story, not that the story caused it. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold.

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