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Business news · Economy · 04 Oct 2026

IMF says India can let the rupee absorb the shock of US rate increases

IN Financial Services Information Technology Oil Gas & Consumable Fuels

What happened

An IMF spokesperson told Business Today that US Federal Reserve tightening presses on emerging markets through capital flows, financing conditions and currencies, and that India's response can be to let the exchange rate adjust while monetary policy stays on domestic inflation. The Fund pointed to India's growth, its inflation-targeting framework, external buffers and healthy company and bank balance sheets. The comment came the day before the RBI's rate panel began its October 5-7 meeting.

Why it matters for listed companies

The advice describes a trade-off that runs through listed sectors. A weaker rupee raises the rupee value of dollar revenue at IT services and pharma exporters, and raises the landed cost of crude for refiners, airlines and other fuel users at a time when Brent is near $100. For banks and non-bank lenders the question is how far the RBI leans on rates rather than reserves to steady the currency, since that sets funding costs. The IMF statement carries no policy weight on its own; the RBI announces its decision on October 7.

Reported by Business Today — “Fed rate hike impact: IMF tells India to let exchange rate act as shock absorber” ↗ on 04 Oct 2026.

How these sectors have moved since

NSE stocks, from the last close on or before 04 Oct 2026 to the close on 15 Oct 2026.

SectorStocksMedian moveUpvs all stocks
Financial Services125 +0.8%78 of 125+1.4 pts
Information Technology40 +7.1%32 of 40+7.7 pts
Oil Gas & Consumable Fuels19 +0.3%11 of 19+0.9 pts
All tracked stocks804-0.6%356 of 804—
These figures are measured, not attributed. Prices and rates move for many reasons at once; they show what happened after this story, not that the story caused it. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold.

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