The Monetary Policy Committee voted unanimously to keep the repo rate at 5.25%, with the SDF at 5.00% and the MSF and bank rate at 5.50%, and retained a neutral stance. It projected FY27 real GDP growth at 6.7% (Q1 7.0%, Q2 6.4%, Q3 6.5%, Q4 6.8%) and CPI inflation at 5.0% (Q2 4.7%, Q3 5.9%, Q4 5.5%). The statement flagged a deficient and uneven monsoon amid El Nino as a risk to agriculture and noted sharp two-way swings in oil prices driven by geopolitics. The next meeting is on October 5-7.
Why it matters for listed companies
Versus June, the RBI lifted its growth forecast from 6.6% and trimmed inflation from 5.1%, but a projected 5.9% peak in October-December leaves the MPC little room to ease, so the policy rate that anchors bank lending and deposit pricing stays where it is. That keeps funding costs steady for banks, NBFCs and housing finance companies and offers no fresh support to rate-sensitive real estate and auto demand. The monsoon and oil risks it flagged bear most on rural-facing FMCG and farm-input companies.
These figures are measured, not attributed. Prices and rates move for many reasons at once; they show
what happened after this story, not that the story caused it. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold.
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